The Ukraine crisis: Unraveling the impacts and policy responses in low- and middle- income countries

The conflict in Ukraine is having widespread deleterious impacts on the economies and food systems of many low- and middle-income countries. Rising prices for food, fuel, and fertilizer have raised pressing concerns about food security and poverty. To better understand the risks in specific countries, IFPRI researchers have modeled the impacts of prices of the fuel, fertilizer, and food price shocks on GDP, employment, poverty, hunger, and diet quality in 19 countries in Africa and Asia, and examined the relative cost effectiveness of different policy interventions.

Please join us for a presentation of this work and a discussion on how policymakers and other key actors are addressing the challenges created by this crisis in specific countries.

IFPRI’s modeling work on the impacts of the Ukraine crisis is supported by the UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, the U.S. Agency for International Development, and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and benefitted from working with two CGIAR’s research initiatives: Foresight and Metrics and National Policies and Strategies.

This is the sixth event in an IFPRI seminar series on Food and Fertilizer Price Trends: Impacts on global food security.

Introduction

• Johan Swinnen, Global Director, CGIAR Systems Transformation Science Group & Director General, IFPRI 

Overview of methodology and key results of IFPRI’s impact and policy response analysis

• Xinshen Diao, Deputy Division Director, Development Strategy and Governance Division, IFPRI
• James Thurlow, Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI

Panel

Key Considerations for Nigeria

• Bedru Balana, Research Fellow, IFPRI
• Sugra Mahmood, Deputy Director, Irrigation agriculture and crop development, Federal Department of Agriculture, Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (FMARD)
• Surendra Srivastava, Head, Fertilizer Marketing, Indorama Eleme Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd., Abuja, Nigeria

Key Considerations for Egypt

• Mahmoud El Bassiouny, Executive Director, The Food Industries Chamber in the Federation of Egyptian Industries (FEI)
• Fatma El Hamalawy, Lecturer at the Institute of National Planning
• Mariam Raouf, Senior Research Associate, IFPRI

Key Considerations for Kenya

• Anthony Kioko, Chief Executive Officer, Cereal Growers Association
• Lucy Njenga, Director of Policy, Research and Regulations, State Dept. for Crops Dev. and Agric. Research, Ministry of Agriculture Livestock Fisheries and Cooperatives (MoAL&C), Kenya
• Lensa Omune, Research Officer, IFPRI

Closing Remarks

• Chris Hillbruner, Division Chief, Analysis and Learning Office of Policy, Analysis, and Engagement Bureau for Resilience and Food Security, United States Agency for International Development (USAID) 

Moderator

• Charlotte Hebebrand, Director of Communications and Public Affairs, IFPRI