Between January and March 2025, which coincides with the harvest period, nearly 1.2 million people (10 percent of the total population analysed) are projected to be in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). This is a marked improvement from the current period (November to December 2024), where 1.9 million people were classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse).

The improvement is likely a result of the expected favourable agricultural performance and abundant rainfall, as well as the increase in household food stocks, even if during this period, the prices of manufactured products are expected to remain higher than average due to the high cost transportation.