Nearly 3.4 million people (17 percent of the analysed population) are facing high levels of acute food insecurity between January to March 2025. Of that total, 442,000 people are in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 2.9 million people are in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). Poor rainfall has reduced crop yields and depleted pasture and water sources, while localized flooding has damaged crops and displaced riverine communities. Conflict and insecurity continue to disrupt livelihoods and restrict market access.
Although the current food insecurity levels have improved by 15 percent compared to last year—mainly due to better rainfall and humanitarian aid—conditions are expected to worsen. Between April and June 2025, below-average rainfall, high food prices, conflict, and further flooding could push 4.4 million people (23 percent of the population) into IPC Phase 3 or above.