In the current period (February to March 2024), about 1.9 million people (12 percent of the population analysed) are classified in IPC Phase 3 or above in Kenya’s arid and semi-arid lands (ASAL), including about 300,000 people (2 percent of the population analysed) in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 1.6 million people (10 percent of the population analysed) in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).

This marks an improvement of 15 percent of the population that has moved to less severe classifications, mainly because of the seasonal performance of the 2023 MAM (March, April and May) rains followed by OND (October, November and December) rains, a positive harvest and improved livestock production and productivity across the ASALs.

Violence by armed groups has increased in recent months, pushing many more people to take refuge in places safer, with around 362,000 people currently displaced internally of the country, including nearly 50,000 in the last three months. Most of displaced people are leaving metropolitan areas (with around 17,000 people leaving Port-au-Prince) for the departments, leaving behind them their livelihoods and facing even more difficult situations vulnerable. This increase in armed attacks limits circulation
of goods and contributes to the increase in the prices of foodstuffs base.
This update shows a significant deterioration of the situation by compared to the previous projection made during the August 2023 analysis, with approximately 4.97 million people (50% of the analyzed population) facing high levels of acute food insecurity for
period from March to June 2024. This includes approximately 1.64 million people (17% of the population analyzed) classified in phase 4 of the IPC (Emergency), and another 3.32 million (33% of the population analyzed), classified in IPC phase 3 (Crisis).

The IPC acute food insecurity analysis conducted in December 2023 warned of a risk that Famine may occur by the end of
May 2024 if an immediate cessation of hostilities and sustained access for the provision of essential supplies and services
to the population did not take place. Since then, the conditions necessary to prevent famine have not been met and
the latest evidence confirms that Famine is imminent in the northern governorates and projected to occur anytime
between mid-March and May 2024.

Timor-Leste is confronted by a worsening food security situation that demands urgent attention and action. In the current period of analysis (November 2023 – April 2024), corresponding to the lean season as well as a window of high-impact for El Niño, 27 percent of the total population (about 360,000 people) are estimated to be facing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above), which includes 1 percent (about 19,000 people) classified in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), and 26 percent (about 342,000 people) in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). Urgent action is required to protect livelihoods, reduce food consumption gaps, and minimize the use of food-based and livelihood coping strategies for the 27 percent of the population in IPC Phase 3 and above. The main drivers of acute food insecurity are the drought-like conditions caused by El Niño, landslides and floods caused by heavy rains, and unaffordability of food exacerbated by poverty and steadily increasing prices of food.

The IPC Acute Malnutrition analysis carried out on 43 analysis units, including 15 provinces, 27 departments and the city of N'Djaména, shows that almost 1,746,000 children aged between 6 and 59 months will suffer from acute malnutrition over the period from October 2023 to September 2024, i.e. 5 percent fewer than over the same period last year (just under 1,775,500 children identified as suffering from acute malnutrition over this period). The number of cases of severe acute malnutrition (SAM) expected between October 2023 and September 2024 is almost 480,000 children (compared with 415,000 last year between October 2022 and September 2023, i.e. around 15 percent more). For pregnant and breast-feeding women suffering from acute malnutrition, the estimate is over 261,000 (down from 273,500 last year, a variation of 5 percent).

For the current period (June - August 2020), 23% of the analysed population (2.6 million people) is facing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above). 38% of the population is in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and 40% is in Minimal Acute Food Insecurity (IPC Phase 1). The population in IPC Phases 3 and 4 is employing Crisis coping strategies due to increasing food consumption gaps and reduced dietary diversity. In the current period, an estimated 1.5 million people in 14 refugee settlements and 11 hosting districts, (26% of the population analysed) are facing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) and are in need of urgent action. Out of the 1.5 million people in refugee camps and host communities classified in IPC Phase 3 or above, approximately 1 million reside in host communities (23% of the host community population analysed) , while nearly 500,000 are in refugee settlements, (32% of refugees in 14 refugee settlements.)

Over half a million cases of children aged 0 to 59 months, and more than a quarter of a million cases of pregnant and lactating women, are expected to suffer from acute malnutrition during the course of 2020. Out of the 19 zones included in the IPC Acute Malnutrition (IPC AMN) analysis, two zones are classified in Critical (IPC AMN Phase 4), eight in Serious (IPC AMN Phase 3) and the remaining zones in Alert (IPC AMN Phase 2) during the current period of January July 2020. The situation is expected to deteriorate further during the projection period of August – December 2020. A total of seven zones will likely move into a higher Phase, with 15 of the 19 zones in IPC AMN Phase 3 or IPC AMN Phase 4.

From August to October 2020, about 3.7 million people were facing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above), and therefore, required urgent action. This figure will likely decrease to 2.7 million people between November 2020 and March 2021. Until October 2020, the departments classified as being in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) were: Alta Verapaz, Baja Verapaz, Chimaltenango, Chiquimula, El Progreso, Huehuetenango, Jalapa, Jutiapa, Quetzaltenango, Quiché, San Marcos, Santa Rosa, Sololá, Suchitepéquez, Totonicapán and Zacapa. The economic effects of the COVID-19 mitigation measures have been counteracted by state and private humanitarian aid, preventing a greater severity of acute food insecurity in most departments.